VEI4 / ANNUAL

Major volcano eruption in 2026?

At least 3At least 1At least 2

Kalshi

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$12,035 vol

Target Price: $1.0026%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 26¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

ALAt least 3

26%▼ 2

Yes 26¢No 74¢

ALAt least 1

88%

Yes 88¢No 12¢

ALAt least 2

22%▲ 2

Yes 22¢No 78¢

Target Price: $1.00

Resolves Yes if the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Major volcano eruption in 2026?

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