USOPEN / ANNUAL

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic

Before Jan 1, 2027Before Jan 1, 2028Before Jan 20, 2029

Kalshi

Loading chart…

$283 vol

OutcomeChanceBuy

BJBefore Jan 1, 2027

17%▼ 2

Yes 17¢No 83¢

BJBefore Jan 1, 2028

34%

Yes 34¢No 66¢

BJBefore Jan 20, 2029

56%▲ 2

Yes 56¢No 44¢

Important information: If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Rules

Before Jan 1, 2027

Resolves Yes if If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: this event is directional.

View full rulesHelp center

🗓️Timeline and payout

Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.

🚫Insider trading is prohibited

Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.