U3 / ANNUAL

Unemployment in August

Above 4.4%Above 4.0%Above 4.2%Above 4.1%Above 4.3%

Kalshi

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$10,301 vol

Target Price: $3.7012%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 12¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

A4Above 4.4%

12%▼ 2

Yes 12¢No 88¢

A4Above 4.0%

90%

Yes 90¢No 10¢

A4Above 4.2%

63%▲ 2

Yes 63¢No 37¢

Target Price: $3.70

Resolves Yes if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Unemployment in August

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