TRUMPB / ONE TIME
Important information: If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Yes
Resolves Yes if If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Note: this event is directional.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.