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Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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TOPMOD / WEEKLY

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-5-highclaude-opus-5-maxclaude-opus-4-6-thinkingclaude-fable-5claude-opus-4-7
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$19,835 vol
4%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 4¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
Cclaude-opus-5-high
4%▼ 2
Yes 4¢No 96¢
Cclaude-opus-5-max
91%
Yes 91¢No 9¢
Cclaude-opus-4-6-thinking
9%▲ 2
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Important information: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

i

Resolves Yes if claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

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Odds$4% chance
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Aug 10, 2026$0
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