SCOTUS / ONE TIME
Important information: If the Supreme Court, in Guerrero v. Johnson, rules a habeas claim does not rely on a previously unavailable new constitutional rule when the petitioner could have asserted a claim based on that rule in an earlier federal habeas petition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Aug 1, 2028
Resolves Yes if If the Supreme Court, in Guerrero v. Johnson, rules a habeas claim does not rely on a previously unavailable new constitutional rule when the petitioner could have asserted a claim based on that rule in an earlier federal habeas petition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Note: this event is directional.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.