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PRIMAR / ANNUAL

Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

Andy Biggs, ≥50%Andy Biggs, ≥40%Andy Biggs, ≥15%Andy Biggs, ≥45%Andy Biggs, ≥20%
Kalshi
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$15,038 vol
Target Price: $10.0099%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 99¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
ABAndy Biggs, ≥50%
99%▼ 2
Yes 99¢No 1¢
ABAndy Biggs, ≥40%
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
ABAndy Biggs, ≥15%
99%▲ 2
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Important information: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Target Price: $10.00

i

Resolves Yes if the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

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Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

PAndy Biggs, ≥50%
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Odds$99% chance
Max payout
Jul 21, 2027
$0
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Settles Jul 21, 2027

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