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PRIMAR / ANNUAL

South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)

Larry Rhoden, ≥40%Larry Rhoden, ≥45%Larry Rhoden, ≥30%Larry Rhoden, ≥20%Larry Rhoden, ≥25%
Kalshi
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$38,560 vol
Target Price: $10.0099%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 99¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
LRLarry Rhoden, ≥40%
99%▼ 2
Yes 99¢No 1¢
LRLarry Rhoden, ≥45%
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
LRLarry Rhoden, ≥30%
99%▲ 2
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Important information: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Target Price: $10.00

i

Resolves Yes if the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

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South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)?

PLarry Rhoden, ≥40%
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Odds$99% chance
Max payout
Jul 28, 2027
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Settles Jul 28, 2027

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