NOTE10 / ANNUAL

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end

5.15% or above5% or above5.1% or above4.75% or above

Kalshi

Loading chart…

$15,069 vol

Target Price: $4.747%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 7¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

5O5.15% or above

7%▼ 2

Yes 7¢No 93¢

5O5% or above

43%

Yes 43¢No 57¢

5O5.1% or above

28%▲ 2

Yes 28¢No 72¢

Important information: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.

Target Price: $4.74

Resolves Yes if the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.

View full rules Help centerReport Insider Trading

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end

Market Rules