MIDTER / ONE TIME
Important information: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 4th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Republicans, 8+ pts
Resolves Yes if If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 4th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Note: this event is directional.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.
Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.