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PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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LLM1 / ANNUAL

Best AI at the end of 2026

ClaudeChatGPTGeminiGrokMuse Spark
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$8,007,323 vol
69%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 69¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
CClaude
69%▼ 2
Yes 68.5¢No 32¢
CChatGPT
14%
Yes 13.5¢No 87¢
GGemini
9%▲ 2
Yes 8.8¢No 91¢

Important information: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

i

Resolves Yes if Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

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Best AI at the end of 2026?

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Odds$69% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2026
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