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Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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LEADER / ONE TIME

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Vladimir PutinMiguel Díaz-CanelXi JinpingKeir StarmerBenjamin Netanyahu
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$3,866,037 vol
10%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 10¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
VPVladimir Putin
10%▼ 2
Yes 9.9¢No 90¢
MDMiguel Díaz-Canel
18%
Yes 18¢No 82¢
XJXi Jinping
3%▲ 2
Yes 2.5¢No 98¢

Important information: An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

i

Resolves Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

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Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

LVladimir Putin
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Dollars
$
Odds$10% chance
Max payout
Jan 2, 2027
$0
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Settles Jan 2, 2027

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