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H

HORMUZ / MONTHLY

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)

July 20July 23July 26July 22July 21
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$16,072 vol
12%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 12¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
J2July 20
12%▼ 2
Yes 12¢No 88¢
J2July 23
11%
Yes 11¢No 89¢
J2July 26
15%▲ 2
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Important information: Daily counts will be evaluated from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

i

Resolves Yes if Jul 20, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Daily counts will be evaluated from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)?

HJuly 20
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Odds$12% chance
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