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Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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GROK / MONTHLY

When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.6?

Before Aug 8, 2026Before Aug 7, 2026Before Aug 9, 2026Before Aug 10, 2026Before Aug 6, 2026
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$10,346 vol
62%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 62¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
BABefore Aug 8, 2026
62%▼ 2
Yes 62¢No 38¢
BABefore Aug 7, 2026
45%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
BABefore Aug 9, 2026
77%▲ 2
Yes 77¢No 23¢

Important information: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

i

Resolves Yes if SpaceXAI releases Grok 4.6 before Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

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When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.6?

GBefore Aug 8, 2026
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Odds$62% chance
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Aug 10, 2026
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