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Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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G

GROK / ANNUAL

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before JulyBefore OctoberBefore 2027Before September
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$47,298 vol
5%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 5¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
BJBefore July
5%▼ 2
Yes 5¢No 95¢
BOBefore October
36%
Yes 36¢No 64¢
B2Before 2027
69%▲ 2
Yes 69¢No 31¢

Important information: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

i

Resolves Yes if xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

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When will xAI release Grok 5?

GBefore July
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