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G

GDPYEA / ONE TIME

US real GDP growth in 2027?

0.0% or Below6.1% or Above1.6% to 2.0%2.6% to 3.0%2.1% to 2.5%
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$25,978 vol
Target Price: $0.106%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 6¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
0O0.0% or Below
6%▼ 2
Yes 6¢No 94¢
6O6.1% or Above
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
1T1.6% to 2.0%
11%▲ 2
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Important information: This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Target Price: $0.10

i

Resolves Yes if the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

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US real GDP growth in 2027?

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Feb 28, 2028
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