DEBTGR / ONE TIME

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

$40 trillion$50 trillion$45 trillion$47.5 trillion$52.5 trillion

Kalshi

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$77,130 vol

OutcomeChanceBuy

$T$40 trillion

97%▼ 2

Yes 97¢No 3¢

$T$50 trillion

27%

Yes 27¢No 73¢

$T$45 trillion

77%▲ 2

Yes 77¢No 23¢

Important information: If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Rules

$40 trillion

Resolves Yes if If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: this event is directional.

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🗓️Timeline and payout

Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.

🚫Insider trading is prohibited

Contracts settle at $1.00 if the outcome resolves Yes, and $0.00 if it resolves No. Positions can be closed any time before expiration at the prevailing market price.