CREDIT / ANNUAL

SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Above 3.75%Above 4.25%Above 4.00%Above 4.50%Above 3.00%

Kalshi

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$5,768 vol

Target Price: $3.0061%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 61¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

A3Above 3.75%

61%▼ 2

Yes 61¢No 39¢

A4Above 4.25%

23%

Yes 23¢No 77¢

A4Above 4.00%

60%▲ 2

Yes 60¢No 40¢

Target Price: $3.00

Resolves Yes if the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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