CNIMPO / ANNUAL

US imports of goods from China in 2026

Below $300 billionBelow $280 billionBelow $240 billionBelow $260 billionBelow $220 billion

Kalshi

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$915 vol

Target Price: $220.0092%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 92¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

B$Below $300 billion

92%▼ 2

Yes 92¢No 8¢

B$Below $280 billion

84%

Yes 84¢No 16¢

B$Below $240 billion

26%▲ 2

Yes 26¢No 74¢

Target Price: $220.00

Resolves Yes if U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $220 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

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US imports of goods from China in 2026

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