Before Jan 1, 2050

Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

LIVE

Implied chance

18%

33,377 vol

BUY YES

29¢

bid 20¢

BUY NO

80¢

bid 71¢

Volume 33,377Open interest 10,249Closes 2050-01-01KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01

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Rules summary

This market resolves based on the outcome of “Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?”. Prices are live from the Kalshi exchange, quoted 0¢–100¢, reflecting the market's implied probability. Each contract pays $1 if it resolves in your favor.